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Tensions mount as Egypt, Ethiopia fail to reach dam deal

- Political futures in region rest on resolution of Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam project issue

home > Hydro, Energy Projects, Middle East-Africa, General 18.07.2020 11:12

Tensions mount as Egypt, Ethiopia fail to reach dam deal

Tension is mounting between Egypt and Ethiopia over their failure so far to reach agreement on a mechanism to fill and operate the Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam, or GERD.

Egypt opposes the $5 billion hydropower project that Ethiopia began in 2011 on the Blue Nile, a tributary of the Nile River, near the border with Sudan.

Ethiopia has said it will start filling the dam in July, while Egypt and Sudan are opposed to the move before a tripartite agreement is reached.

The three countries failed to reach an understanding earlier this week.

"The Grand Renaissance Dam is a major challenge for Egypt as it depends on the Nile waters for their livelihood, agriculture, and transportation, and interrupting the Nile will cause several other problems," Ahmet Uysal, head of the Middle East Strategic Studies Center (ORSAM) based in the Turkish capital Ankara, told Anadolu Agency.

Egypt fears the dam will affect its annual share of the Nile’s water, totaling 55.5 billion cubic meters. And with the failure so far to reach an agreement, Cairo complained on May 1 to the UN Security Council after Addis Ababa announced its plan to begin the first phase of filling the dam.

Filling the dam will impact "Egypt’s economic and social life and in the end, political life," Uysal said.

Whether an agreement is reached between the two countries, "Ethiopia seems very determined to fill the dam as they spent a lot of money to build it," according to the Turkish academic.

-Egypt in weaker position

Although Ethiopia has wanted the project for decades, construction only began 2011.

At the time, Egypt was undergoing drastic changes due to a popular uprising resulting in the resignation of President Hosni Mubarak after 30 years in power.

Even today, "Ethiopia is in a stronger position than 10 years ago," Uysal said.

He attributed Ethiopia's strength today to events in Egypt. "After the military coup in Egypt, it became weaker and less relevant on the international stage, so Ethiopia is more comfortable than before."

Egypt has faced setbacks, Uysal said, citing the rule of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, who in 2013 orchestrated a military coup against Mohamed Morsi, Egypt's first democratically elected president.

And although al-Sisi spent most of his life in the military, Egypt lacks "a mechanism of military pressure on Ethiopia," he said.

He ruled out the possibility that Egypt would resort to military action against Ethiopia, although Cairo considers the establishment of a dam on Nile waters a casus belli.

Politically, "Egypt now does not have this leverage on the diplomatic front, as Ethiopia has more allies today such as China and maybe some Gulf Arab countries. Even the US isn’t putting enough pressure on Ethiopia," he said.

"So Egypt is also weak on the political front."

-Lack of leverage

Ethiopia is also economically independent from Egypt, leaving Cairo unable to force an agreement.

"Egypt today doesn’t have leverage on Ethiopia to stop it or force it to agree on in terms of filling the dam," he said.

"At the end of this month, Ethiopia might consider filling the dam with an agreement or without," Uysal added.

Ethiopia announced Wednesday that it had already started filling the dam but later, saying it had been misunderstood.

The news prompted Egypt and Sudan – another nation that would be affected by the dam – to ask for clarification.

"I think Ethiopia was testing Egypt’s nerves, and when there was a big reaction, they denied it," Uysal said.

-Life and death issue

Political analyst Moufid Mostafa agreed that Ethiopia was testing Egypt's reaction.

The dam issue is "a matter of life or death for the Egyptian president and the prime minister of Ethiopia," Mostafa told Anadolu Agency.

"Al-Sisi built his leadership to protect Egyptian national security and save Egypt economically,” said the Beirut-based political analyst.

“Therefore, his silence on Ethiopia filling the dam without reaching an agreement means risking his political future."

"In return, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's political future depends on the investments and promises of jobs and development to the people after the completion of the Renaissance Dam project," he said.

Mostafa said reports Egypt may resort to military force were an attempt to draw international attention to its cause, but at the official level Egypt is still pressing for a diplomatic solution.

"From al-Sisi's approach over eight years, he’s not inclined to military options with other countries, so he will seek diplomatic escalation in the hope that the Ethiopian side will make concessions," he said.

Mostafa said Egypt's best hope is to make Ethiopia agree to compensate for Egypt's water loses in case of a shortage or drought.

"It seems that a solution will be to return to the African [Union] reference, and for both parties to make greater concessions," he added.

Anadolu Agency

energy@aa.com.tr


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-Project that is expected to be operational by 2024 will boost energy storage assets for greater renewable capacity in future
17.04.2019 Hydro , Asia , General

Norway produces 93.6% electricity from hydro in Feb. 19

- Norway produces 11.74 terawatt-hours of electricity in February
06.04.2019 Electricity , Hydro , Europe , General

Norway produces 94.4% electricity from hydro in Jan. 19

- Norway produces 14.71 terawatt-hours of electricity in January
05.03.2019 Electricity , Hydro , Europe , General

Dam will add $83.5M to Turkish economy: President

- Turkish President Erdogan tells ribbon-cutting ceremony that $4.8B invested in northeastern province over last 17 years
04.03.2019 Hydro , Turkey

Norway produces 94% electricity from hydro in Dec. 2018

- Norway produces 13.81 terawatt-hours of electricity in December
08.02.2019 Hydro , Europe , General

Asia, Africa, Middle East drive global energy growth

- Energy consumption in each region grew by around 20 percent between 2010 and 2016, says Energy Information Administration
10.01.2019 Coal , Hydro , Asia , Middle East-Africa

French company to supply turbines for Nile hydro-dam

- GE Hydro France to be paid €53.9 million to manufacture, fix, test turbine generators, local media reports
03.01.2019 Hydro , Middle East-Africa , General

Norway produces 94.2% of electricity from hydro in Oct.

- Norway produces 13.28 terawatt-hours of electricity in October
06.12.2018 Electricity , Hydro , Europe , General

Hydropower major source of Norway's electricity in Sept

- Nordic country produced 11.19 terawatt hours of electricity in month nine
02.12.2018 Electricity , Hydro , Renewable , Europe , General

GE to refit Itaipu Dam on Brazil-Paraguay border

- One of the world's largest, Itaipu has power generation capacity of 14 GW, enough to meet 75 percent of Paraguay’s electricity needs and about 15 percent of Brazil's
17.11.2018 Hydro , News from companies , Americas

Egypt says seeks ‘non-fragile’ deal on Ethiopia dam

- Egypt fears the Ethiopian dam would reduce its Nile water share
07.11.2018 Hydro , Middle East-Africa

Hydro produces majority of Norway's electricity in Aug.

- Norway produces 10.54 terawatt-hours of electricity in August
03.10.2018 Finance , Hydro , Europe , General

No deal in 3-party Nile dam negotiations

- Ethiopian, Egyptian, and Sudanese water ministers meet to discuss multi-billion dam project being constructed on Nile
27.09.2018 Hydro , Energy Security , Middle East-Africa , General

Statkraft to invest $1.2 bln in renewables until 2025

- Norway will be the largest single market for investments, the company says
27.09.2018 Hydro , Renewable , Europe , General

Ethiopia, Egypt, Sudan discuss hydro-dam on Nile

- Talks underway for filling strategy report of Ethiopia’s multi-billion dollar hydro-electric dam on Nile in Addis Ababa
26.09.2018 Hydro , Middle East-Africa

Statkraft acquires Tidong hydropower project in India

- Statkraft purchses 100 percent share in 100 MW Tidong hydropower project under construction in India
08.09.2018 Hydro , Asia

Ethiopia: PM blames contractor for delay in dam

- Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam was expected to be constructed in 5 years
27.08.2018 Hydro , Middle East-Africa

Hydro produces 94.7% of Norway's electricity in June

- Norway produces 9.68 terawatt-hours of electricity in June
06.08.2018 Electricity , Hydro , Europe , General

Bosnia: Explosion in hydroelectric plant kills 3

- Incident took place at Thursday noon when workers were cleaning turbines in power plant
03.08.2018 Hydro , Europe

Turkey privatizes Tortum hydro plant in Erzurum

- Tayfurlar Energy Electricity Production Corp. wins privatization tender for plant in Turkey's eastern Anatolia region
21.07.2018 Hydro , Invesments , Turkey

Finnish Fortum to sell 10% in Norwegian hydropower firm

- The deal is expected to close this month
13.06.2018 Hydro , Invesments , Europe , General

India, Nepal inaugurate India-backed hydropower plant

-India’s state-owned Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam's $1.04 billion project will supply north Indian plains and Nepal's eastern region
15.05.2018 Hydro , Asia

Bomb detonated at hydro plant in Nepal

- Splinter Maoist group, which targeted India-funded hydro projects late 2017, is suspected of carrying out Sunday’s attack
01.05.2018 Hydro , Energy Security , Asia , General

Ethiopia blames Egypt for failure of Nile dam talks

- Negotiations over Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam project resumed last week after two-year hiatus
13.04.2018 Hydro , Middle East-Africa

Turkey privatizes Dinar-2 hydro plant in Afyonkarahisar

- Ozce Mining Co. wins privatization tender for hydro plant in western Turkey
13.04.2018 Hydro , Invesments , Turkey

Talks in Sudan over controversial Nile dam fail

- Hours of meetings between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan over technical issues end without a breakthrough
06.04.2018 Hydro , Energy Diplomacy

Turkey privatizes Sutculer hydro plant in Isparta

- GNE Electricity Production Corp. wins privatization tender for hydro plant in western Turkey
28.03.2018 Renewable , Finance , Hydro , Invesments , Turkey

Turkey privatizes Gonen hydro plant in Canakkale

- Altek Alarko Corp. win privatization tender for plant in northwestern Turkey
25.03.2018 Hydro , Invesments , Turkey

Turkey produces 58.4 billion KWh of hydropower in 2017

- Turkey plans to produce 110 billion KWh of electricity from hydropower plants by the end of 2019, says minister Eroglu
16.03.2018 Hydro , Turkey

Norway produces 95.8% of electricity from hydro in Jan.

- Norway produces 15.86 terawatt-hours of electricity in January
06.03.2018 Electricity , Hydro , Renewable , Europe , General

Norway produces 95.6% of electricity from hydro in Dec.

- Norway produces 14.8 terawatt-hours of electricity in December
08.02.2018 Hydro , Europe

Wind to pass hydro in US electricity generation: EIA

- Wind to provide 6.9 percent of electricity generation in US next year, while hydro is expected to provide 6.6 percent
26.01.2018 Electricity , Wind , Hydro , Americas

Nepal to hold 2nd power investment summit on Jan 27-29

- Summit will allow investor access to provide debt financing of $5M-$20M for ‘shovel ready’ projects in the energy sector
23.01.2018 Hydro , Asia

Norway produces 95.4% of electricity from hydro in Nov.

- Norway produced 13.7 terawatt-hours of electricity in November
10.01.2018 Hydro , Europe

Nepal Pres. urges industry to tap into country's hydro potential

- Exploiting hydro, delayed due to political instability, will ensure prosperity for next generation, president says at Himalayan hydro expo
06.01.2018 Hydro

Nepal to host Himalayan hydro expo early Jan.

- Nepal’s Ministry of Energy, National Planning Commission, the government think-tank and Nepal Electricity Authority, the state utility, will serve as partners of the event
11.12.2017 Hydro , General

Hydropower produces 96% of Norway's electricity in 2016

- Nordic country generates around 148.9 gigawatt-hours of electricity, from which hydropower produces 143.4 gigawatt-hours
24.11.2017 Hydro , Europe

Turkey privatizes Manyas hydro plant in Balikesir

- Samsun Makina Sanayi Inc. & Aria Technology Investments consortium win privatization tender for plant in Marmara province
22.11.2017 Electricity , Hydro , Invesments , Turkey

Nepal scraps mega hydropower deal with China

- $2.42 billion Budhi Gandaki Hydropower Project with China's Gezhouba Group Corporation ditched due to irregularities in awarding contract
13.11.2017 Hydro

Turkey privatizes Tortum hydro plant in east Anatolia

- Has-Kar Engineering and Trade company wins privatization tender for hydro plant located In eastern Anatolia
08.11.2017 Hydro , Turkey

Conservationists wary over Tanzanian hydropower project

- Wildlife, local economy could be affected by huge dam, campaigners claim
20.09.2017 Renewable , Hydro

US: Dam overflows as Houston copes with rain

- Officials brace for second major Houston-area dam to overflow
30.08.2017 Renewable , Hydro

German Voith to supply China's tallest power station

- Deal to promote hydropower in African market to ensure supply of two 350-megawatt units for pumped storage power station
06.07.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Nepal, China ink $2.42B hydropower agreement

- Project to generate 1,200 megawatt electricity
05.06.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Nepal awards China country's largest hydro plant build

- Ministry of Energy’s proposes Chinese Gezhouba Group Corporation to build 1200-MW reservoir project, the country’s largest
24.05.2017 Renewable , Hydro

'Africa uses only 10 percent of hydropower potential'

- 3-day World Hydropower Congress begins in Addis Ababa
10.05.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Canada province calls in military to help with flood

- Historic rainfall levels pummel Ontario, Quebec, heading east
07.05.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Hydro produces 66% of Canada's electricity in 2015

- Canada leads in hydroelectricity production, second to China, while wind saw twenty-fold increase from 2005 to 2015
06.05.2017 Renewable , Finance , Hydro , Invesments

World hydropower capacity increases by 31.5 GW in 2016

- Total hydropower generation reached 4,102 terawatt-hours in 2016
26.03.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Pakistan, India begin water talks in Islamabad

- Talks to focus on New Delhi’s three controversial projects over Chenab River, according to Pakistani minister
20.03.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Spanish Ferrovial to build €80M hydro plant in Portugal

- Contract includes construction of main cavern, €80 million investment with 47 month deadline
12.01.2017 Renewable , Hydro

Enel, Brazilian Dev. Bank support Apiacas hydro project

- Enel and Brazilian Development Bank signed $115 million agreement to support part of Apiacas hydropower cluster construction\r\n
05.01.2017 Renewable , Finance , Hydro , Projects
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