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Climate change could lead over 216 mln. people in 6 regions to internally migrate

- Scale of internal climate migration will be largest in poorest and most climate vulnerable regions, World Bank says

home > Europe, Asia, Americas 13.09.2021 16:13 Nuran Erkul

Climate change could lead over 216 mln. people in 6 regions to internally migrate

Climate change, which is becoming an increasingly potent driver of migration, could force as many as 216 million people in six regions to migrate within their own countries by 2050, according to the World Bank's new version of the Groundswell report published Monday.

The World Bank's first Groundswell report published in 2018 with a focus on South Asia, Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa projected that climate change could lead 143 million people to migrate within their own countries by 2050.

The new report builds on the first issue and includes three more regions namely; East Asia and the Pacific, North Africa, and Eastern Europe and Central Asia to analyze the impacts of climate change on migration.

The report found that water scarcity, lower crop productivity, sea level rises and storm surges could become more widespread in these six regions, potentially forcing over 216 million people to migrate, equivalent to 3% of the total projected population of these six regions.

'The scale of internal climate migration will be largest in the poorest and most climate-vulnerable regions, an indication that underlying gaps in the ability of livelihood, social, and economic systems to cope with climate change could undermine development gains,' the report said.

Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to have the largest number of internal climate migrants at 85.7 million people, or 4.2% of its total population.

The region is highly vulnerable to climate change impacts, the report cautioned, especially in already fragile drylands and along exposed coastlines. Agriculture, which is almost all rainfed in the region, also accounts for a significant share of employment.

East Asia and the Pacific follow with 48.4 million people, corresponding to 2.5% of its total population, and South Asia with 40.5 million projected internal climate migrants, accounting for 1.8% of the total population.

Climate change is projected to drive 19.3 million people in North Africa, making up 9% of the total population, to migrate within their own countries.

Latin America could see 17.1 million internal climate migrants, or 2.6% of its population while this is estimated to be 5.1 million in Eastern Europe and the Central Asia region, equivalent to 2.3% of the total population.

- Urgent action could reduce internal climate migration by 80%

'Since 2018, the world has been hit by the COVID-19 pandemic and a reversal of decades-long progress reducing poverty. At the same time, the impacts of climate change are increasingly visible. We have just lived through the warmest decade on record and are seeing extreme weather events around the world, with changes in the Earth's climate occurring in every region and across the whole climate system,' Juergen Voegele, vice president for Sustainable Development at the World Bank, was quoted as saying in the report.

'This projection is not cast in stone. If countries start now to reduce greenhouse gases, close development gaps, restore vital ecosystems, and help people adapt, internal climate migration could be reduced by up to 80 percent to 44 million people by 2050,' he said, highlighting the importance of taking urgent action.

The report also warned that in some places, questions of habitability will arise and hotspots of internal climate in-and-out migration could emerge as early as 2030 and grow and intensify by 2050, raising the need to integrate plausible migration scenarios in spatial development.

'The window to avert the conditions that lead to distress-driven internal climate migration is shrinking rapidly. Countries must come together and act decisively both to ensure that development is green, resilient, and inclusive and to sharply reduce global emissions, consistent with the Paris Agreement,' the report said.

The bank said if well managed, internal climate migration and associated shifts in population distribution can become part of an effective adaptation strategy, allowing people to rise out of poverty, build resilient livelihoods and improve living conditions.

The report counted the significant policy recommendations starting with cutting global greenhouse gases to reduce the climate pressures that drive climate migration, integrate climate migration into far-sighted green, resilient and inclusive development, planning for each phase of migration to ensure positive adaptation and investing in understanding the drivers of climate migration.

By Nuran Erkul Kaya

Anadolu Agency

energy@aa.com.tr​​​​​​​


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04.05.2022 Coal , Invesments , International Relations , Europe

ExxonMobil to sell Romanian upstream affiliate for $1 billion+

- Romgaz gets all shares in ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Romania along with interest in Neptun natural gas block
05.05.2022 Natural Gas , Invesments , International Relations , Europe

Oil prices rise on larger than expected drop in US oil stocks

- European Commission expected to announce details of EU's sanction plans against Russia later today
04.05.2022 Oil , Europe , Eurasia , Americas

EU Commission chief proposes oil embargo on Russia

- 6th round of sanctions would hit oil imports, banks, military officials responsible for Bucha massacre
05.05.2022 Oil , International Relations , Europe , Eurasia

OMV sells filling stations in Germany for €485 million

- OMV targets achieving net zero by 2050
04.05.2022 Transportation/Fuel Oil , Projects , Invesments , Europe

bp to invest up to $22 billion in UK energy system by 2030

- Company has various projects in pipeline from oil and gas to renewable energy and hydrogen production facilities in UK
04.05.2022 Oil , Renewable , Invesments , Europe

Germany signals green light for Russian oil embargo

- German economic minister calls on all EU countries to reduce their dependence on Russian energy as quickly as possible
03.05.2022 Oil , International Relations , Europe

Oil prices regain losses after Germany gives support to Russia oil ban

- European Commission expected to propose new package of EU sanctions this week
04.05.2022 Oil , International Relations , Europe , Eurasia

Shell buys renewable energy company for $1.55 billion

- Company targets net-zero emissions by 2050
03.05.2022 Renewable , Invesments , Europe , Asia

East Med. gas could substitute only 20% of EU's Russian gas imports

- Egypt is only country that exports gas in E. Med. currently, at about 10 billion cubic meters last year via its two LNG facilities
03.05.2022 Natural Gas , International Relations , Europe , Eurasia , Middle East-Africa

EU gas buyers on horns of dilemma as Russia insists payments in rubles

- EU officials say paying in rubles means breaching sanctions, though Germany imports highest amount of Russian gas
03.05.2022 Natural Gas , Europe

Electricity and gas bill rise in EU households in 2H21

- Cheapest electricity and gas per 100 kilowatt-hours is in Hungary at €10.01 and €3.05, respectively
01.05.2022 Electricity , Finance , Europe

Efforts to wean off Russian fossil fuels act as catalyst for clean transition acceleration

- Phasing out fossil fuels requires rapid and massive deployment of renewables as well as reducing demand
29.04.2022 Renewable , Europe

Greece to assist Bulgaria after Russia halts gas supply

- Moscow refusing to resume gas supplies to Bulgaria, Poland unless they pay in rubles
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe , Eurasia

Poland ready to survive without Russian gas, but Bulgaria needs support

- Warsaw is capable of importing all its needs through LNG terminal and from its neighbors, says expert
29.04.2022 Natural Gas , Energy Diplomacy , Europe , Eurasia , General

Algeria threatens to cut off gas supplies to Spain

- Moving gas exported to Spain to a different destination breaks contract, says Energy Ministry
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , International Relations , Europe

TotalEnergies expands US renewable portfolio with solar company acquisition

- Company has global target of achieving 100 GW of renewable projects in operation by 2030
28.04.2022 Renewable , Europe , Americas

Shell and TotalEnergies buy shares in Brazil's Atapu oil and gas field

- Petrobras holds majority share at 52.5% while Shell and TotalEnergies have 25% and 22.5%, respectively
28.04.2022 Finance , International Relations , Europe , Americas

EU Commission vows ‘immediate, united’ response to Russia’s gas supply cut

- ‘Era of Russian fossil fuel in Europe is coming to end,’ says European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe

Russia vows to cut gas supplies on veto of gas payments in ruble

- Kremlin spokesman refutes accusations that Russia is using natural gas as blackmail, says clients are well-informed in advance
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , World , Europe , Eurasia

'UK has imported over $275M of Russian oil during Ukraine war'

- Almost 2M barrels of Russian oil brought to UK since Feb. 24, according to global campaigning group Greenpeace
27.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe

Russian move to cut gas could have big upshot if larger states included: Rystad

- Bulgaria is fully dependent on Russian natural gas, while Poland is importing half of its natural gas from Russia, says Rystad
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , World , Europe , Eurasia

EU maps out coordinated response to Russia's gas 'blackmail'

- Head of European Commission says move to cut gas flow to Poland and Bulgaria shows unreliability of Russia as gas supplier
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe

Changes seen in hydrocarbon trade as countries compensate for Russian supply losses

- EU picks up more oil and gas from Middle East and US, while more volumes from West Africa and Latin America make their way to US
28.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe , Americas

European gas prices rise 13.4% as Russia cuts gas to Poland, Bulgaria

- Gazprom officially informed customers on April 1 of new rules for gas import payments in rubles
27.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe , Eurasia

Oil up over escalating supply woes as Russia halts gas to Poland, Bulgaria

- US crude oil inventories are expected to rise by over 4.78 million barrels, limiting further price increases
27.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe , Eurasia , Asia , Americas , Middle East-Africa

Construction underway on Centrica's first solar farm

- Centrica plans to deliver 900 megawatts of solar and battery storage by 2026
27.04.2022 Solar , Invesments , Europe

Iberdrola starts construction of Baltic Eagle offshore wind farm

- Iberdrola expects to have 12,000 MW of offshore wind energy in operation by 2030
27.04.2022 Wind , Invesments , Europe

Oil up despite low China demand over COVID-19 lockdowns

-Russia-Ukraine war, however, continues to put upward pressure on prices, raising supply fears
27.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe , Eurasia , Asia , Americas , Middle East-Africa

Hydro provides majority of Norway's power in March

- Norway produces 11.05 terawatt-hours of electricity in March
26.04.2022 Hydro , Europe , General

Iberdrola acquires rights to 1,000-megawatt onshore wind farm in Australia

- Iberdrola has more than 3,000 megawatts of projects in Australia in various stages of completion
23.04.2022 Renewable , Wind , Europe , Asia

Norway's oil production in March is below forecast

- Norway's preliminary oil production in March is 5.9% lower than Norwegian Petroleum Directorate's forecast
22.04.2022 Natural Gas , Oil , Europe , General

UK to make gas payments to Gazprombank under license valid until May 31

- Country buys less than 4% of its natural gas from Russia
22.04.2022 Natural Gas , Invesments , Europe , Eurasia

Italy's Eni, Congo Republic sign LNG deal

- Agreement covers increase in gas production in Congo, primarily through development of LNG project with start-up expected in 2023
23.04.2022 Lng/Lpg , Europe , Middle East-Africa , General

Italy turns to Africa for gas needs to reduce dependence on Russia

- Italy, which depends on Russia for 40% of its gas, focuses on African countries to diversify energy sources
21.04.2022 Natural Gas , International Relations , Europe , Middle East-Africa

Italy could ration energy in May if Russia stops supplies

- Energy independence from Moscow could take 18 months, minister says
21.04.2022 Natural Gas , International Relations , Europe

Energy savings in Europe could cut equivalent gas volumes of Nord Stream-1 flow

- IEA's head says simple actions could save households €450 per year and reduce reliance on Russia during 'first global energy crisis'
22.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe

European EV charge producer Wallbox inaugurates new factory in Barcelona

- Company invests €9 million in facility that hopes to manufacture over 750,000 chargers per year
21.04.2022 Renewable , Invesments , Europe

India capitalizes on Russian oil imports previously destined for Europe

- Total Urals arrivals in northwest European and Baltic ports drop by around 460,000 barrels per day, around 620,000 in March and down to 370,000 in April
22.04.2022 Oil , Europe , Asia

Germany to phase out Russian oil imports by year-end

- Foreign Minister Baerbock slams Merkel’s pro-Russian energy policy, saying 'these were clear mistakes'
21.04.2022 Oil , Europe , Eurasia

Volvo Cars invests in extreme-fast-charging battery developer StoreDot

- Volvo Cars is the first premium car maker to invest in StoreDot
21.04.2022 Electricity , Finance , Europe , General

GE Renewable Energy to lower carbon footprint in Europe via deal with Forestalia

- New 21-megawatt wind farm will be built in Spain via 12-year fixed price European Power Purchase Agreement
21.04.2022 Electricity , International Relations , Europe

Shell outlines six steps to lowering company's carbon emissions

- 'By 2050, we will no longer serve customers who have unmitigated carbon emissions,' Shell says
21.04.2022 Renewable , Europe

Iberdrola set to develop solar projects in Spain

- Iberdrola to install two solar facilities with combined capacity of 368 megawatts
21.04.2022 Solar , Europe

Nordex receives orders for 1.2 gigawatts of wind power in 1Q22

- Orders come from ten European countries, the largest of which are from Finland, Germany and Croatia
21.04.2022 Wind , Europe , General

Greece seized Russian-flagged oil tanker off Evia Island: Report

- Ship with 19-member crew on board anchored near port of Karystos due to bad weather conditions, local media reports
20.04.2022 Oil , International Relations , Europe , Eurasia

Hungary does not support sanctions against Russian oil, gas

- Russian gas shipments to Hungary arriving without disruptions, says Hungarian foreign minister
20.04.2022 Natural Gas , Oil , International Relations , Europe , Eurasia

EBRD to loan Turkish bank $58M for low-carbon economy investments

- Investment to promote Turkiye's transition to sustainable, low-carbon, climate-resilient economy, says European lender
18.04.2022 Invesments , International Relations , Turkey , Europe

Oil prices rise more 7% over fears of EU ban on Russian oil in week ending April 15

- EU is considering gradual ban on Russian fossil fuels, according to international media
17.04.2022 Oil , Europe , Eurasia , General

Austrian chancellor says Putin told him gas payments in euros can continue

- Non-delivery of gas would cause serious harm to industry, households in Austria, says Chancellor Nehammer
16.04.2022 World , Europe

Oil volatile with stalemate in Russia-Ukraine talks, rise in demand risks

- Conflict in Ukraine, OPEC+ output decisions, rate at which US oil and natural gas producers increase drilling are main drivers of price uncertainties in 2022
14.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe , Eurasia , Asia , Americas , Middle East-Africa

Installation of Spain's first floating wind turbine to kickstart in 2022

- Pilot turbine will be first grid-connected floating wind turbine in Spain
14.04.2022 Renewable , Wind , Europe

Greece to step up gas exploration to cut reliance on Russia: Premier

- Reducing reliance on Russian natural gas, search for fossil fuel solutions only options for Greece, says Mitsotakis
13.04.2022 Natural Gas , Europe

Spain's Endolla expects EV penetration in Europe to reach 40% in 10 years

- However developing EV sector needs to tackle challenges with technology, company manager says
13.04.2022 Electricity , Europe

Oil up as China eases pandemic restrictions, OPEC warns of supply risks

- OPEC warns EU that sanctions on Russia could create severe oil supply shocks, the supply gap from which would be impossible to replace
13.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe , Eurasia , Asia , Americas , Middle East-Africa

Italy to sign gas deal with Algeria to reduce dependence on Russia

- Up to 10 billion cubic meters more could be delivered by Algiers, local media reports
12.04.2022 Natural Gas , World , Europe

Turkiye and Spain explore clean energy partnership

- Clean energy delegation tour last week from Turkiye to Spain aims to foster partnerships between cluster organizations and companies
12.04.2022 Renewable , Wind , Solar , Turkey , Europe

Oil down with weakening demand in China and release of emergency reserves

- Investors await supply and demand data from OPEC on Tuesday and International Energy Agency on Wednesday
11.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe , Eurasia , Asia , Americas , Middle East-Africa

Russia-dependent Europe learns necessary lesson on energy security: Official

- 'We have policies that will yield results in the medium and long term', says Pinho, director at the European Commission's energy directorate
08.04.2022 Natural Gas , Energy Security , Europe , Eurasia , General

UK plans to build 8 nuclear reactors as part of its energy strategy

- New government body, Great British Nuclear, will be set up to bring forward new projects
08.04.2022 Nuclear , Europe

Russian coal replacement in EU may be limited, costly amid tight supply

- EU imported 69 million tons of coal from Russia in 2021, out of which Germany accounted for 22.3 million tons, data shows
08.04.2022 Coal , Europe

European ministers in Budapest call for more energy cooperation

- Europe needs emergency plan, says Slovakia's Deputy Minister of Economy Karol Galek
07.04.2022 Natural Gas , Energy Diplomacy , Europe , Eurasia , General

EU to discuss Russia oil embargo next week: Official

- Bloc’s latest sanctions package against Russia will not yet include ban on Russian oil export, says foreign policy chief
08.04.2022 Oil , World , Europe
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