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ANALYSIS - Turkey’s new geostrategy from Tripoli to Doha: ‘Defending an area’

- Having taken lessons from the mistakes made 100 years ago, Turkey is now building a dynamic line of defense from the Mediterranean to the Indian Ocean

home > Natural Gas, Energy Diplomacy, Türkiye, Middle East-Africa, General 24.12.2019 15:37

ANALYSIS - Turkey’s new geostrategy from Tripoli to Doha: ‘Defending an area’

After dismantling the terror corridor long in the making on its southern borders through the “trilogy”, as it were, of the Euphrates Shield, Olive Branch and Peace Spring operations, Turkey continues its series of unsettling responses against the attempts to contain it in the Mediterranean and the Middle East. The Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Delimitation of the Maritime Jurisdiction Areas signed between Turkey and Libya on Nov. 27 was followed by the steps taken in the Qatar-Northern Cyprus-Libya line in December. The developments were reminiscent of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk’s famous remark that left an indelible mark on the Battle of Sakarya, which began on Aug. 23, 1921, and lasted for 22 days. The philosophy of “There is no defending a line, but rather a whole area is to be defended” (Ataturk’s famous statement from the Battle of Sakarya) highlights Turkey’s large area of defense extending from Qatar to the Libyan capital of Tripoli, cutting across the island of Cyprus in the middle of the line.

The implications in Ataturk’s statement, which represents the existential struggle of Anatolia during the Battle of Sakarya, gives greater urgency to Turkey’s need to expand its geopolitical line of defense over a larger area, especially with the global struggle reaching chaotic proportions on all fronts. This large geopolitical area is formed at one end by the Mediterranean Shield, which covers the west and south of the island of Crete, and at the other by the headquarters of the Turkey-Qatar Combined Joint Force Command overlooking the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, which is covered by the entire world and especially by energy markets. At the southernmost end of this area is the Somali Turkish Task Force Command in Mogadishu, the capital of Somalia on the Indian Ocean coast.

After the MoU officially designated Libya and Turkey as maritime neighbors on Nov. 27, the joint headquarters of the Khalid Ibn Walid Barracks in Qatar was inaugurated on Dec. 14. These moves were followed by another link connecting the most sensitive part of the chain from Qatar to Libya on Dec. 16. Bayraktar TB2 Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV), which took off from the Naval Air Base Command in Dalaman, southwest of Turkey, landed at the Gecitkale Airport in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC). The four-hour flight of the UAV manufactured completely in Turkey by Turkish engineers and with domestic funding, not only had a strong impact on the island of Cyprus but also reverberated across the international community closely monitoring the developments in the Eastern Mediterranean. After arriving at the TRNC, the Turkish UAV took off again without delay and made its first mission flight in the region on the same day. This flight was not only intended for the protection of the Turkish vessels engaged in drilling activity in the Eastern Mediterranean. The flight of the UAV was also a response to the three Greek F-16s that took off from Crete and violated the TRNC airspace near the village of Akincilar on Oct. 17.


- Second 'slap' in Cyprus


Around the same days, Greece continued its harassments in the Eastern Mediterranean by participating in the “Atsalino Velos (Steel Arrow) Exercise” organized by the Greek Cypriot administration of Southern Cyprus with F-16s, the first of its kind in 19 years. Turkey’s response to these two moves with a single UAV proved strong enough to unsettle the Greek public. Greece had engaged in a similar act of incitement on June 16, 1998, and the Turkish response to that was very quick to come too. Four F-16 fighter aircraft and a C-130 military transport aircraft belonging to the Greek Air Force were sent to the Paphos Air Base in Southern Cyprus. Turkey responded to this move by dispatching from Ankara six fully loaded F-16s with their combat systems activated. The fighter jets flew over the Green Line in Cyprus and made consecutive landings at the Gecitkale Airport. The late President of the TRNC, Rauf Denktas, personally welcomed the Turkish F-16s in Gecitkale. The then U.S. Ambassador to Nicosia Kenneth Brill, who requested an appointment with President Denktas to voice his disapproval of the Turkish warplanes’ coming to the island, was received by the president just as two of the Turkish F-16s were making a show of strength over Nicosia; during the meeting, the U.S. ambassador was duly reminded of Turkey’s rights and those of the Turkish Cypriots. In refusing to take lessons from recent history, relying on the rhetorical support of the U.S. and France, Greece and the Greek Cypriot administration are merely carrying firewood to the fire of instability -- a fire that might spread throughout the Eastern Mediterranean -- for the sake of their ambitions that exceed their military, and more importantly, economic capacity.


- Surrounded when trying to besiege


The Greek-Greek Cypriot front, where a simplest Turkish move such as landing a UAV in Gecitkale was enough to cause panic, is about to find itself surrounded while making concerted efforts to besiege Turkey, trying to enlist the support of Egypt and Israel along the way. The relations between Turkey and the legitimate government of Libya are not limited to the determination of maritime boundaries. Another critical step was taken, which is considered as a renewal of the agreement signed in 2012. The Motion on the Appropriateness of Ratifying the Memorandum of Understanding on Security and Military Cooperation between Turkey and Libya was submitted to the Presidency of the Turkish Grand National Assembly (TBMM). At the time of writing, the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Turkish Parliament had just approved the motion.
With the enactment of this memorandum, several remarkable steps will be taken in the cooperation between the two countries. One of these is the establishment of a joint defense and security cooperation office in Turkey and Libya. Also between the armed forces of the two countries, there will be increased cooperation in the exchange of personnel, materials, equipment, consultancy, technical knowledge, and experience. Their ownership remaining in the hands of Turkey, there will be an allocation of land, sea and air vehicles, equipment, weaponry, as well as buildings and land (training bases). Besides, upon the invitation of the receiving party, activities will be organized jointly for military planning, transfer of experience, training and education intended for the areas of activity of the land, sea and air forces of the armed forces of the two countries. These moves alone suffice to signal the new steps Turkey will be taking in the area of struggle that it has expanded from the Persian Gulf toward the middle of the Mediterranean Sea.


- Qatar-Cyprus-Libya defense line


To defend Turkey’s strategic overseas interests, there are plans to add a new link in Libya to the chain of defense presently consisting of the joint headquarters in Qatar, the forward-deployed cross-border bases in Iraq and Syria, and the UAVs deployed in Gecitkale. The forces of General Khalifa Haftar, who have been trying to overthrow the legitimate government in Libya since April and take over the capital Tripoli, launched a new attack on Dec. 12. Coming as soon as Turkey reached a deal with the Government of National Accord (GNA), this attack by the Haftar forces brought up claims that the Turkish Armed Forces (TAF) if requested, could dispatch troops to protect the Tripoli government.
The Haftar forces, in their recent operations against Tripoli, which they claim will be the final and ultimate attack, are primarily targeting Misrata, which plays an important role in providing human resources for the defense of the capital. When the armed forces and NGOs in Misrata loyal to the GNA declared mobilization in response to the attack by General Haftar, armed drones belonging to the UAE bombed the building of the Air Force Academy in this city. The al-Khoms-Zlitan-Misrata triangle, about 100 kilometers east of the capital Tripoli, is strategically important for the defense of the region. These three towns were very significant in the deployment of the Libyan armed forces and navy even during the Gaddafi period.


- Time for a Turkish base in Libya


From the day the Memorandum of Understanding on Security and Military Cooperation between Turkey and Libya enters into force, there will be a legal basis for the TAF’s deployment in the triangle of al-Khoms-Zlitan-Misrata with its land forces and navy to boost the military capabilities of the GNA, at least by providing training and equipment, against the forces of General Haftar, which are known to be supported by the UAE, Egypt, France and Russia. We need to look back a hundred years ago to appreciate the significance of the naval power that Turkey might deploy in Libya under its strategy of moving its geopolitical line of defense beyond its borderlines. Italy initiated a series of secret treaties to colonize Libya following the French invasion of Tunisia in 1881 and the British invasion of Egypt in 1882. In 1887, this series of agreements with Britain and Austria-Hungary was completed in 1909 when Russia gave the green light for Italy’s invasion. However, Italy’s first penetration into Libya was not through its military, but in the field of the economy with the Bank of Rome. On Sept. 28, 1911, the Italian Kingdom gave a note to the Ottoman Empire to protect its investments in Libya and under the pretense of “bringing civilization to the region”.


- Power that dominates Mediterranean dominates three continents


In fact, before this note, conflicts between Italy and the Ottomans had already begun in the Adriatic and Ionian seas (Preveza), and the Ottoman navy had lost the torpedo boats of Tokat, Alpagut and Hamidiye during these conflicts. The clashes that began on Libyan territory in the days following the Italian note produced disappointing results for the Roman administration thanks to the defense efforts led by Staff Colonel Neset Bey in Tripoli, Staff Major Enver Bey in Benghazi and Staff Major Mustafa Kemal Bey in Derna. Italy chose to employ its navy to force the Ottomans into leaving Libya. Yemen’s port of Hudaydah and the port of Beirut, which were under Ottoman control, were attacked by the Italian Navy. On April 18, 1912, defensive positions in Canakkale (Gallipoli) were bombed. The Rhodes Island was occupied following the Italian onslaught on April 24-May 17, 1912. The loss of the Twelve Islands was another side effect of the absence of a kind of navy whose power would match the sincere efforts exerted to save the Ottoman territory in Libya.
Having taken lessons from the mistakes made 100 years ago, Turkey is now building a dynamic line of defense from the Mediterranean to the Indian Ocean, and from Libya to Somalia, by fielding its UAVs and armed drones as well its warships, which are now all manufactured by Turkey’s national defense industry. On this path, which Turkey has been treading in keeping with the maxim “There is no defending a line, but rather a whole area is to be defended,” that “area” is now all of the world’s seas.

Opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Anadolu Agency.

The writer is a journalist based in Ankara. He writes analyses on Turkish foreign policy.


By Mehmet A. Kanci,

Translated by Omer Colakoglu

Anadolu Agency

energy@aa.com.tr


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Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, July 5

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 14,831.17 Turkish liras
06.07.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, July 4

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 14,961.54 Turkish liras
05.07.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, July 3

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 14,234.38 Turkish liras
04.07.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, July 2

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,802.83 Turkish liras
03.07.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Tuesday, July 1

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,739.56 Turkish liras
02.07.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Monday, June 30

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,491.41 Turkish liras
02.07.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Sunday, June 29

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,400 Turkish liras
30.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, June 28

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,453.78 Turkish liras
29.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, June 27

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,533.75 Turkish liras
28.06.2025 Natural Gas

Türkiye's LPG production up 10.1% in April

- LPG imports decrease by 17.5%, while exports rise by 11.1% in April, latest industry report reveals
30.06.2025 Lng/Lpg

Türkiye's natural gas imports up 69.5% in April

- Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran are Türkiye's largest gas suppliers, providing 1.81 bcm, 999 mcm, and 706 mcm, respectively
28.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, June 26

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,607.76 Turkish liras
27.06.2025 Natural Gas

Global renewable expansion lags behind energy demand growth: Report

- Electrification is accelerating, particularly in developing economies, while all major energy sources hit all-time consumption highs in 2024, says industry report
27.06.2025 Electricity , Natural Gas , Renewable

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, June 25

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,632.07 Turkish liras
26.06.2025 Natural Gas

Global wholesale gas prices average $4.88 per MMBtu in 2024

- Global average gas prices fall by nearly 50% from 2022 levels, with gas-on-gas pricing mechanisms covering almost half of total consumption in 2024
27.06.2025 Natural Gas , Finance , General

Israel warns of imminent cooking gas shortage after Iranian missile attack on Bazan refinery

-It will take about month for Bazan refinery to fully resume operations, says Israeli energy minister
27.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Tuesday, June 24

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,590.88 Turkish liras
25.06.2025 Natural Gas

Oil, gas prices retreat to below pre-conflict levels after Israel-Iran ceasefire

- Brent crude and European gas prices surged since Israel's June 13 attack on Iran, but fell Tuesday after ceasefire announcement
26.06.2025 Natural Gas , Oil

Vessel traffic in Strait of Hormuz continues

- No significant decline in ship traffic except for 6 vessels making U-turns to avoid waterway amid Israel–Iran conflict
25.06.2025 Natural Gas , Oil

European gas prices fall after Trump announces Israel-Iran ceasefire

- Market tensions ease as fears of disruption to global LNG trade through Strait of Hormuz subside
25.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Sunday, June 22

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,620.08 Turkish liras
23.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, June 21

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,623.21 Turkish liras
22.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, June 20

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,669.59 Turkish liras
21.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, June 19

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,683.56 Turkish liras
20.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, June 18

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,735.42 Turkish liras
19.06.2025 Natural Gas

Europe's gas consumption drops to 30-year low, says Gazprom

- Europe's gas consumption shows sharp decline as demand grows rapidly in Asia, Gazprom official says
19.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Tuesday, June 17

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,730.22 Turkish liras
18.06.2025 Natural Gas

EU proposes banning LNG gas imports from Russia by end of 2027

- 'This will help the EU become more energy independent, improve the security of the energy supply, and boost the Union's energy independence and competitiveness,' says EU Commission
17.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Monday, June 16

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,692.57 Turkish liras
18.06.2025 Natural Gas

Türkiye sees no disruption in gas supplies from Iran: Energy minister

- Türkiye faces no disruption in its gas supply from Iran despite regional tensions, but rising oil prices could impact gas prices and increase country's energy import bill, says Alparslan Bayraktar
19.06.2025 Natural Gas

EU gas demand on track to drop 7% in 2030 compared to 2023: Ember

- EU countries are set to reduce their total gas demand from 326 billion cubic meters (bcm) to 302 bcm, according to a new Ember report
18.06.2025 Natural Gas

Türkiye's Oruc Reis vessel begins return journey after first intercontinental mission off Somalia

- Seismic vessel departs from Port of Mogadishu, expected to reach Türkiye in early July
17.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Sunday, June 15

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,824.02 Turkish liras
16.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, June 14

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,632.43 Turkish liras
15.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, June 13

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,686.85 Turkish liras
14.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, June 12

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,699.17 Turkish liras
13.06.2025 Natural Gas

European gas prices jump 4% following Israeli attack on Iran

- European gas prices opened 4% higher on Friday following Israel's strike on Iran, with the market posting its largest single-day increase in five weeks
14.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, June 11

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,698.52 Turkish liras
12.06.2025 Natural Gas

European energy markets face volatility in 2H25 amid tight LNG supply

- Policy uncertainty fuels volatility in European energy outlook
13.06.2025 Lng/Lpg , General

Spot market natural gas prices for Tuesday, June 10

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,714.64 Turkish liras
11.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Monday, June 9

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,715 Turkish liras
11.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Sunday, June 8

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,806 Turkish liras
09.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, June 7

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,871.34 Turkish liras
08.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, June 6

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,770 Turkish liras
07.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, June 5

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,799.41 Turkish liras
06.06.2025 Natural Gas

Japan to propose cooperation on rare earth elements in US tariff talks: Report

- Tokyo seeks supply chain deal to ease China-driven shortages and accelerate tariff relief
06.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, June 4

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,649.42 Turkish liras
05.06.2025 Natural Gas , General

Spot market natural gas prices for Tuesday, June 3

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,797.61 Turkish liras
05.06.2025 Natural Gas

EU gas imports to fall 25% by 2030 as bloc exceeds demand reduction targets

- REPowerEU plan targets 100 bcm gas cut by 2030 through efficiency and renewables
09.06.2025 Natural Gas , Energy Security , General

Spot market natural gas prices for Sunday, June 1

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,894.29 Turkish liras
02.06.2025 Natural Gas

Türkiye, Azerbaijan to sign new deal to boost oil, gas production in Azerbaijan

- Shafag-Asiman Production Sharing Agreement to form another partnership between Turkish Petroleum, SOCAR, and bp, says Alparslan Bayraktar
04.06.2025 Natural Gas , Oil , Energy Diplomacy

Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, May 31

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,597.23 Turkish liras
01.06.2025 Natural Gas , Finance

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, May 30

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,546.92 Turkish liras
01.06.2025 Natural Gas

Gazprom's net profit rose to $8.4B in Q1

- Company's revenue and profit up 1% year-on-year in Q1
02.06.2025 Natural Gas

Türkiye’s first floating gas platform reaches Black Sea port

- Türkiye’s first floating natural gas production platform, Osman Gazi, arrived Saturday, May 31, at Filyos Port in Zonguldak on Türkiye’s Black Sea coast
03.06.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, May 29

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,717.86 Turkish liras
30.05.2025 Natural Gas

Türkiye's natural gas imports up 35.9% in March

- Russia, US, and Azerbaijan are Türkiye's largest gas suppliers, providing 1.79 bcm, 1.49 bcm, and 1.04 bcm, respectively
30.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, May 28

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,579.54 Turkish liras
29.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Tuesday, May 27

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,420.83 Turkish liras
28.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Monday, May 26

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,432.95 Turkish liras
28.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Sunday, May 25

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,301.23 Turkish liras
26.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Saturday, May 24

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,360.75 Turkish liras
26.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Friday, May 23

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,489.27 Turkish liras
24.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Thursday, May 22

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,827.40 Turkish liras
23.05.2025 Natural Gas

Spot market natural gas prices for Wednesday, May 21

- 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas on spot market costs 13,687.44 Turkish liras
22.05.2025 Natural Gas
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