US LNG needs high oil, low gas prices to be competitive

- U.S. LNG exports will have biggest competitive advantage if oil prices are high and gas prices are low in markets: FED expert

 

Liquefied natural gas exporters in the U.S. need high oil and low natural gas prices to have a competitive advantage in the natural gas markets worldwide, said an expert from U.S. Federal Reserve Bank Sunday. 

'When oil prices are high and natural gas prices are low, U.S. producers who can export LNG are at a competitive advantage,' Mine Yücel, senior vice president and director of Research at FED of Dallas, told Anadolu Agency. 

Yucel explained that natural gas prices are still linked to oil prices in Europe and Asia, and stressed when oil prices are high, natural gas prices are also high in those regions.

The U.S. natural gas prices are relatively low in comparison to the rest of the world. The cost of Henry Hub in the second week of May was around $2.8 million British thermal unit, mmbtu, however oil prices for this period were also 50 percent lower compared to June 2014. 

'Now oil is down 50 percent, and that lowers the price of natural gas in Europe and Asia. So, the competitive advantage for the U.S. is much narrower,' Yücel explained.  

'This is one of the reasons why not all permitted LNG plants are starting construction right away,' she added.

There are currently only six LNG terminals that have been granted approvals from the U.S. Energy Department to export LNG to countries that the U.S. does not have a Free Trade Agreement, FTA, with. 

'The energy industry has been complaining that approvals of LNG exports terminals have been very slow. However, it has become somewhat faster last year and this year so far,' Yücel said.

- Approved projects in the U.S. to export LNG

Recently, the U.S. government has sped up LNG permits by approving two projects in less than a week. 

On Tuesday, Cheniere Energy's Corpus Christi Liquefaction Project in the U.S. state of Texas became the sixth project to be approved. The project will export LNG up to the equivalent of 2.14 billion cubic feet (63 million cubic meters) of natural gas per day for a period of 20 years. 

On May 7, Dominion Resources' Cove Point LNG project in the state of Maryland gained approval from the energy department to export 0.77 billion cubic feet (23 million cubic meters) of natural gas per day for a period of 20 years.

'However, approved permits does not mean the plants will be built,' Yücel warned. 

'Building LNG facilities takes time and they are very expensive. That's why we won’t see a flood of U.S. natural gas exports on the market immediately,' she added.

Cheniere Energy's Sabine Pass plant will become the earliest project to be completed to export LNG, at the end of this year or beginning of next year, while they are fully contracted out for the next 20 years, Yücel informed.

The project in the state of Louisiana was the first project to acquire an LNG export permit in 2012 to potentially export 2.76 billion cubic feet (83 million cubic meters) per day. 

'As U.S. gas comes into the market, we will eventually see a global gas market,' Yücel said. 

'Europeans and Asians are talking about delinking natural gas and oil prices. So, maybe, in five years, we will have a global gas market, like we have in oil,' she concluded.  

The Freeport LNG terminal in Quintana Island, Texas was authorized on Nov. 14, 2014 to export LNG for a total volume of 1.8 billion cubic feet (54 million cubic meters) per day for a period of 20 years. 

Moreover, Carib Energy’s facility in Florida and Sempra Energy’s Cameron LNG facility in Louisiana were approved on Sept. 10, 2014.

Sempra Energy's Cameron LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana was authorized to export up to some 1.7 billion cubic feet (51 million cubic meters) per day of natural gas for a period of 20 years, while Carib Energy's facility in Martin County, Florida was authorized to export up to some 0.04 billion cubic feet (1.2 million cubic meters) per day for a period of 20 years. 

The companies that want to export LNG from the U.S. to non-FTA countries need to get approval from the Department of Energy, which grants authorizations unless the proposed gas exports 'are not consistent with the public interest.'

With the shale boom in 2008, the U.S. has significantly raised its shale gas production, from 2 trillion cubic feet (57 billion cubic meters) in 2008 to 11.4 trillion cubic feet (323 billion cubic meters) in 2013, according to the U.S.' Energy Information Administration.

By Ovunc Kutlu

Anadolu Agency

ovunc.kutlu@aa.com.tr